The Weekly Consensus: Week of July 19, 2010
Credit History
Mark Lenz
It's been 60 years since the founders of Diners Club issued the first multi-purpose private charge cards, more than 50 years since Bank of America's BankAmericard proved that the mass-issued personal credit card was a workable concept and more than 20 years since debit cards came into common usage. The amount of time that personal cards have been available, along with the sheer utility they provide, have made them a fixture in the lives of modern consumers. Cards, and card-related banking services have proved wildly popular, profitable and, as the economy has slowed, troubling, for issuer and user alike. While the cards and services have been wildly popular, the associated fees charged by the card companies and banks have not been as popular. This week, Congress, as part of its comprehensive financial reform initiative, enacted changes to the credit/debit card industry that bear close examination.
The most immediate impact of reform is that retailers transacting significant business with debit cards will benefit from lower interchange fees on transactions using that use debit cards. Several retail industry organizations, including the National Retail Federation and the Food Marketing Institute have long advocated for change of this nature. The current interchange charge represents a significant cost for retailers, and significant income for the credit card companies and banks. Because of the new legislation, banks and credit card companies will have to base the interchange rate on debit transactions to the specific cost of the debit transactions. This change will have the greatest benefit for low-margin retailers such as grocery stores, where margin rates often approximate the interchange rate. Retailers will have the option of passing along cost savings to their customers, using savings to add value in another part of the business, taking a higher profit or some combination of the above - supporters of the reform believe that a substantial portion of the savings will go to customers. It is likely that of the attention paid to where the cost savings go will force retailers to pass at least some of the savings on to consumers. The oversight contemplated by the bill should prevent the savings from being simply converted from bank profits to retailer profits.
Another key feature of the new bill is allowing certain retailers, such as gasoline stations, to offer discounts for purchases made with cash or debit card versus credit card pricing - a practice that has been prohibited under many current agreements. Customers who use debit cards or cash will then not have to pay costs for which they receive no benefit, but retailers will be able to set minimum purchase levels (no higher than $10) for use of a credit or debit card, something that they cannot do today under their agreements with the credit card companies.
However, the banks and credit card companies unlikely to stand by while more than $20 billion in income is taken away. After all, they have shareholders with expectations of a return on their investment as well. Although retailers will laud the benefits instituted by the reform bill, the banks will assuredly look to new charges, or reductions in benefits, similar to what airlines have done. Many of the increases will fall on the same consumer that is saving on retail transactions. Perhaps it will be the end of no-cost checking. Maybe it will be less cash back on credit card transactions. It could be that there will be fewer airline miles available in conjunction with affinity credit cards. Reform is in early days, and none of the changes above is certain, but all have been discussed as the bill has moved towards passage.
The consumer card industry has had decades to establish itself in the hearts, minds and wallets of consumers. It is unlikely that reform will win over all concerned parties overnight. It is clear, though, that consumer credit and debit for retailers and their customers will be changing.
Betsy White
Burberry Group to Acquire 50 Retail Stores in China
Luxury company Burberry Group Plc announced a deal to acquire stores and related assets in China, currently operated by its Hong Kong-based master franchisee Kwok Hang Holdings Ltd. for about GBP 70 million in cash, subject to completion adjustments. The transaction is expected to be completed in autumn 2010. The company has terminated its franchise arrangement for China. Under the acquisition agreement, the company expects to acquire the assets and inventory of 50 stores in China. The stores are located in 30 cities in China, including nine stores in Beijing and four in Shanghai. Burberry stated that the majority of the purchase price is payable on completion and will be paid from Burberry's existing cash resources. The value of the gross assets to be acquired is about GBP 30 million, subject to completion adjustments. As part of these arrangements, an existing franchisee will hold a 15% economic interest in the business.
Harrods Offers Fashion for Muslim Women
Fashion designer Hind Beljafla makes abayas to match the Gucci shoes and Hermes handbags of high-spending women in the Gulf. Now these women can buy her elegant versions of the black Islamic robes, which obscure the contours of a woman's body, when they head to London this summer to escape the Arabian Peninsula's sweltering heat. Harrods started selling abayas by Beljafla's DAS Collection in June, a month after Qatar's sovereign wealth fund bought the landmark store. "Muslim women are like any women around the world: They love fashion and love shopping,'' Beljafla, 24, said in her store. Fashion houses in Milan and Paris are waking up to the commercial potential for Muslim women's clothing that respects religious values and sets new standards for style. Saks Fifth Avenue, which hosted the event, then put designer abayas on sale for as much as $12,000 at its stores in the Saudi cities of Riyadh and Jeddah. The abayas are displayed alongside designer evening gowns on the women-only floor of a shopping mall in Riyadh's glass skyscraper, the Kingdom Center, owned by Alwaleed.
Nogales Investors Fund II Completes Follow-on Investment in Naartjie Kids
Nogales Investors, a Los Angeles-based private equity firm, announced today that it has made a $6 million follow-on investment in its portfolio company, Naartjie Kids, a branded retailer for children's clothing. This follows Nogales' $15 million growth equity investment made in 2008 to expand the Company's store base beyond the western U.S. and capitalize on the downturn in commercial real estate. In addition to Nogales' $6 million investment, the Company raised an additional $2 million from other shareholders. Naartjie Kids' initial U.S. store growth was focused primarily in California, Utah and Arizona. Over the past two years Naartjie has expanded its store footprint into the Northwest, New England, New York, the Mid-Atlantic, Texas, Tennessee, Kentucky and the southeastern U.S. By the end of 2010, Naartjie will have a total of 43 stores in the U.S., compared to 18 in August 2008 when Nogales' initial investment was made. Founded in 1989 in Cape Town, South Africa, Naartjie remains the leading children's clothing retailer in South Africa, with 23 stores.
JoS. A. Bank Clothiers Opens Its First Factory Concept Store
JoS. A. Bank Clothiers, Inc. announced that the Company has opened its first factory concept store. The Company's new store in Riverhead, New York is the first of five stores the Company plans to open in fiscal year 2010 as part of the test phase of its new factory store concept. In addition, the Company also announces that it has launched a new website, www.josbankfactorystores.com, dedicated to the products offered under this new factory store concept. The remaining two factory stores which the Company expects to open in fiscal year 2010 are planned for locations in Texas and Maryland.
Michael O'Hara
Women Outpace Men as New Hunters
More women than men took up hunting last year, according to new net figures from the National Sporting Goods Association. While total hunters in the U.S. decreased slightly (.05%) between 2008 and 2009, the number of female hunters increased by 5.4%, netting 163,000 new participants. Growth areas for women included muzzleloading (up 134.6%), bowhunting (up 30.7%) and hunting with firearms (up 3.5%). Data also show women outpaced men among net newcomers to target shooting with a rifle, where female participation grew by 4.1%.
West Marine Reports Q2 Comps Rise 9.4%
West Marine, Inc. reported net revenues for its 13-week 2010 fiscal second quarter ended July 3, 2010 of $233.4 million, an increase of $18.0 million, or 8.4%, from net revenues of $215.4 million a year ago. Revenues increased $17.3 million due to a 9.4% increase in comparable store sales and $9.9 million from stores opened during 2009 and the first two quarters of 2010. Stores closed during these same periods generated revenues of $8.8 million during the second quarter of last year. The majority of the closures occurred in connection with our on-going real estate optimization program.
Financiers' Swim Relay: Leslie's Poolmart for Sale for $1 Billion
The largest swimming-pool supplies retailer in the U.S. is up for sale, with its private-equity owners seeking another buyout shop to purchase the company. Leslie's Poolmart Inc., a Phoenix-based chain with 640 stores across 35 states, has been put on the block by its owners Leonard Green & Partners, according to people familiar with the situation. Leonard Green is seeking more than $1 billion for the company, and buyers are expected to be another private-equity firm, the people say. The market for these so-called secondary buyouts is hot. Some private-equity firms are looking to sell strong-performing companies and return money to their investors, while others are sitting on billions of dollars of unspent capital searching for deals. Meanwhile, fee-hungry investment bankers earn millions of dollars advising and lending on these transactions.
MTB Would Lower Tariffs on Many Ball Sports Items
House Ways & Means chairman Sander Levin (D-MI) posted a draft 144-page Miscellaneous Tariff Bill (MTB) on the committee's website that includes SGMA-supported duty suspension provisions on several sporting goods products. The posting is the first step in an effort to renew tariff relief that expired on January 1, 2010. Of particular importance to SGMA members are duty relief extensions on volleyballs, leather basketballs, golf bag bodies, rubber basketballs and basketballs of other materials.
Zumiez Abandons Pursuit of West 49
Zumiez Inc. said it was ending its takeover pursuit of West 49 Inc., leaving the path open for Billabong International Ltd. to continue its deal to buy the Canadian action-sports retailer. Zumiez said it couldn't agree to the terms of the due diligence with West 49. Last week, Zumiez approached West 49, saying it was prepared to make an offer exceeding the C$1.30 per share Billabong offered when the two companies entered a definitive agreement to merge last month. The offer was subject to a satisfactory due diligence review. West 49 said it has some reservations over due diligence for competitive reasons given that Zumiez recently unveiled intentions to move into the Canadian market.
Christopher Ellis
Avon to Acquire Silver Jewelry Brand for $650M
Avon Products Inc., a direct seller of beauty products, is delving deeper into the jewelry business, having agreed to purchase all the assets of Silpada Designs, a sterling silver jewelry home-party company, Avon announced. Under the terms of the agreement, Avon is expected to acquire the assets of Silpada for an initial payment of approximately $650 million. A standalone business with operations in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, Silpada offers a range of approximately 450 sterling silver jewelry products at higher price points than Avon's current core jewelry offerings. According to a media release from Avon, the privately held Silpada boasts annual revenues of approximately $230 million and generates operating margins that are significantly higher than Avon's.
High Fashion Relents to Web's Pull
The Web site for Marc Jacobs, the flamboyant fashion designer with an estimated $5 billion brand, has many things: stylish videos of employees describing their jobs, footage from elite fashion shows and parties, and even a photo of the company's president staring down a camel in Egypt. One thing it does not have: clothes for sale. In the genteel world of luxury, companies long felt that the Web was no place for merchandising exclusive products. And there was a gentlemen's agreement with department stores not to siphon sales by reaching out directly to wealthy customers. Then, in came the recession, and out went the niceties. Department stores slashed prices on $1,200 handbags, while luxury lines fretted about losing their exclusivity. Now, come September, marcjacobs.com is going retail, 10 years after most brands opened Web showrooms.
Douglas Stebbins
Jobs: iPhone Problems Overblown
Apple CEO Steve Jobs downplayed the antenna reception problems of the iPhone 4 on Friday but offered solutions to those customers unhappy with their purchase. Apple will supply a free case, which has been shown to solve the reception issue, to all iPhone 4 owners, as well a software update to Apple's iOS4 operating software, which Jobs said will correct an error in the way the iPhone displays its signal strength bars. The company will offer a free Bumper case or similar case marketed by Apple to every iPhone 4 user that registers on the Apple website starting "late next week" through Sept. 30. It will refund the cost to anyone who already bought an Apple case. Those who bought third-party cases will not be offered a refund but can claim an Apple case like anyone else. Jobs also acknowledged some reported problems with the iPhone 4's proximity sensor and said the next version of iOS will address them. Jobs opened up the press event here by demonstrating via video that the reception problem is not unique to the iPhone 4 but common to many smartphones including the Blackberry 9700, the HTC Droid Eris and the Samsung Omnia. "It's a challenge for the whole industry. Phones aren't perfect," Jobs said. "We haven't figured out a way around the laws of physics. Yet."
Sears' Fresh Approach to Cutting Edge Electronics Features Some Old-Fashion Techniques
Just about the first thing Sears did after in after inking a deal with Sonic Solutions to stream newly released movies and other premium entertainment direct to its customers homes was to launched a campaign on Facebook directed as those customers who have become more closely linked to the company through proprietary initiatives that provide a unique package of information, discounts and financing options. In doing so, Sears has advanced a strategy based on providing customers with a unique if not entirely new approach to doing business with it. The company is linking established and even old fashioned retailed practices, such as loyalty cards, layaway and store credit, with online efforts that range from marketing efforts on Facebook and other social networks, product promotion on My Sears and My Kmart websites and now the Sonic Solutions home theater system, which gives consumers direct access to movies as soon as they are available to for rental or purchase at retail.
Billy Busko
Eye-Catching Cosmetics Gain Momentum
The eyes have it! That's what new Mintel research indicated, as eye makeup sales have experienced strong double-digit growth since 2004, compared with the overall color cosmetics market. Since 2004, eye makeup sales have increased 38%, compared with an 11% increase in the overall color cosmetics market, according to Mintel research. Mascara is one of the fastest-growing segments in color cosmetics, as 65% of respondents reported using it. Eye shadow and eye liner aren't far behind -- 63% of women surveyed said they use shadow and 62% use liner. Brow pencils are somewhat less popular, but still enjoy solid market penetration, with 38% of women reporting usage. While eye makeup lead the pack in sales, other segments of the market still were viable. Lipstick and lip gloss were the most popular color cosmetic products, with 76% of survey respondents. Some 22% use a lip pencil, 9% use a lip stain and 7% use a compact lip color. Women reported using lipstick and lip gloss six times a week, suggesting that these products are a daily staple.
Vitamin Maker Sold for $3.8 Billion
Nutritional supplement maker NBTY will be acquired by private equity firm Carlyle Group in a deal valued at $3.8 billion, the companies announced. Under the merger agreement, NBTY shareholders will receive $55 a share, a 57% premium to NBTY's average closing share price in the 30 trading days ended July 14. The last time NBTY's stock price touched $55 was in February 2007. Shares of NBTY were up more than 44% in premarket trading, at $54 a share. NBTY's board of directors have approved the merger, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approval. The deal is expected to close by the end of 2010.
Bankrupt Trade Secret to Sell Assets
Trade Secret Inc. last week filed a voluntary petition for Chapter 11 bankruptcy court protection in Delaware, and plans to sell certain assets to former owner and creditor Regis Corp. The plan is to sell Trade Secret to Regis as the so-called "stalking horse bidder" for $45 million, which includes the assumption of $13 million in liabilities, with Regis transferring the interest into a new entity associated with Brian Luborsky, chief executive officer, for the purpose of operating a scaled-down version of the firm. According to bankruptcy court records, Trade Secret, based in Ontario, Canada, operates both beauty and hair care retail sites. Operations are primarily mall-based, although 20 percent of the sites are located in outdoor shopping centers. The businesses operate under four trade names: Trade Secret, Beauty Express, BeautyFirst and PureBeauty.
Inter Parfums Inks Deal with Betsey Johnson
Inter Parfums has entered into an exclusive agreement with New York designer Betsey Johnson, under which Inter Parfums will design, manufacture and sell fragrance, color cosmetics and personal care products under the Betsey Johnson brand. The agreement, which runs through Dec. 31, 2015, encompasses both direct sales to global Betsey Johnson stores and e-commerce site, as well as a licensing component, enabling Inter Parfums to sell these fragrance and beauty products to specialty and department stores as well as other retail outlets worldwide.
Mark Lenz
Testing Proves Testing Works
Big Lots, the Columbus, Ohio-based closeout chain, credits sophisticated testing and analysis with helping cut costs for advertising, marketing, utilities, staffing, store operations, real estate and inventory. While it has nurtured a culture of testing for some time, the 1,361-store company has refined its processes with the help of the "Test and Learn" discipline of Arlington, Va.-based software vendor Applied Predictive Technologies (APT). Big Lots undertook a 16-week pilot of APT's software and consulting services in October 2008. Most companies conduct two tests before deciding whether to sign on full-time, says APT CEO Anthony Bruce. Big Lots conducted three tests and also used the APT software tool to review approximately 20 previous tests for a comparison of the results, says Dan Yokum, the retailer's director of strategic planning. "We wanted to get a good feel for the value the tool would offer, versus what we were doing internally."
JCPenney Shreds Brand Equity Along with Unsold Ralph Lauren Merchandise
File this one under WTF: JCPenney employees were instructed to trash unsold merchandise from its exclusive American Living line manufactured in collaboration with Polo Ralph Lauren. Staff in Pittsburgh's Beaver Valley Mall location got on the horn to the local television station right after being instructed to destroy a host of goods. Ironically, this (misguided) company policy is part of JCP's attempt to preserve the brand's equity. If management (both at RL and JCP) had taken some time to think about the implications -- and come up with a more creative solution - they wouldn't be in deep PR sh*t right now.
Target Sells $1 Billion of Debt, First Since 2008
Target Corp., the second-largest U.S. discount retailer, sold $1 billion of 10-year debt in its first bond offering since January 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The 10-year notes yield 3.91 percent, or 80 basis points more than similar-maturity Treasuries, Bloomberg data show. Proceeds may be used to repay existing debt, fund construction of new branches, remodel existing stores, finance share repurchases and acquire real estate, other assets and companies, Target said today in a regulatory filing. Target is marketing debt more than two years after it sold $4 billion of bonds to repurchase stock as activist investor William Ackman pressured the retailer to raise its share price. The Minneapolis-based retailer has repurchased about $5.7 billion worth of shares since starting its buyback program in fourth-quarter 2007, it said in a regulatory filing. Target raised its quarterly dividend to 25 cents a share in June.
Michael O'Hara
Wolverine World Wide Second-Quarter Profit Surges
Wolverine World Wide, Inc. reported revenues increased 4.8% in the second quarter ended June 19, to $258.2 million. Continued strong organic growth was partially offset by the delay into the subsequent quarter of a significant shipment to a third-party distributor and, as expected, by lower closeout sales - the latter of which had a beneficial impact on gross margin in the quarter. Foreign exchange had minimal impact on reported revenue in the quarter. Excluding $2.7 million of charges in the quarter related to the company's now fully implemented strategic restructuring plan, diluted earnings were a record 39 cents per share, compared to 2009 adjusted diluted earnings of 27 cents per share, an increase of 44.4%. Reported diluted earnings in the quarter were 35 cents per share, compared to 16 cents per share in the second quarter of 2009.
Skechers Shares Under Pressure Over Toning Concerns
Shares of Skechers USA have fallen 20% since June 18, apparently over fears of discounts, slower sales, and the evolution of toning product. But in a note entitled "Negative Chatter Unwarranted," Chris Svezia, an analyst at Susquehanna International Group, wrote that the entire footwear sector takes a breather in June and early July ahead of BTS and the concerns over Skechers were overdone. The stock closed Wednesday at $34.77 versus $43.85 as of the close of June 18. Svezia wrote that as Skechers' management indicated, the planned 20% discount of G1 Shape-Ups was designed to allow retailers to clear inventory ahead of the next generation of toning footwear. Since its launch, retailers have not been allowed to discount Shape Ups below $100 (typically $10 off MSRP of $110), including BOGO programs. He said that despite the toning item's continued strong demand, the discounting is necessary to make space for the next generation is that much better in styling and function. "While the G1 has sold several million pairs, the styling has not been overly positive compared to what is hitting the market now. The discount window is expected to last three weeks."
Mark Boucher
Borders to Sell Paperchase Unit for $31M
Borders Group Inc. will sell its Paperchase Products Ltd. stationery unit to British private investment firm Primary Capital Ltd. for $31 million, the bookseller said. The move is Borders Group's latest to cut costs and improve profitability since financier Bennett LeBow invested $25 million in the retailer in May, becoming the company's largest shareholder, chairman and CEO. Borders will continue to buy and carry Paperchase products in its U.S. stores. The company bought a majority interest in Paperchase, based in the U.K., in 2004 for $24.1 million. It will use $25 million of the proceeds to reduce the amount outstanding under its $90 million term loan credit facility. The deal is expected to close within the next week. Borders' market capitalization - the total dollar market value of all of a company's shares - is about $97.9 million. Paperchase has been a relatively strong, albeit small, part of Borders' business. In the first quarter, domestic revenue fell 16 percent to $520 million, but international revenue - which includes Paperchase - rose nearly 4 percent to $22.4 million.
Natural and Organic Pet Products Strengthen Market Position
Natural and organic pet products are a top growth segment in the U.S. pet market and continue to edge into the mainstream channels, according to a report released by Packaged Facts. The report revealed that natural pet product sales grew by double-digits from 2006 through 2008 while expanding from a pet food base into nonfood pet supplies. Although growth slowed in 2009, Packaged Facts expects the slowdown to be temporary, with sales regaining steam in 2010 and edging back into the double digits in 2011 to reach nearly $2.3 billion. Pet owners surveyed by Packaged Facts indicated that affordability is a bigger issue than availability when it comes to purchasing natural and organic pet products. About half of pet owners said they would buy more natural and organic pet products if such products were more affordable. Thirty-nine percent said they would do so if the products were more widely available, according to the report. Although pet specialty remains the stronghold for natural pet products, the inroads made by mass marketers in recent years are reflected in shifting channel shares. During 2005, the mass market accounted for 7 percent of natural pet product sales, but by the end of 2009, that figure had more than tripled to 25 percent.
Mark Boucher
Walmart Makes Too Much of an 'Impact', Beefs Up Assortment
There's a legend circulating around Bentonville: Walmart Chairman Lee Scott enters a Friday morning senior-management meeting with two bags of groceries from Harps, the Arkansas retail chain that has somehow survived the dominance of its much bigger hometown rival. The bags, the story goes, were filled with items Mr. Scott's wife had purchased that week because she couldn't find them at Walmart. The implication: The chain's assortment cutbacks under so-called Project Impact to declutter aisles and make the shopping experience more upscale had gone too far. Spokesman David Tovar said he could find no evidence of "anything quite so dramatic" happening at a senior-management meeting and said the story may have gained some details in the retelling. But he did acknowledge that assortment issues have been a management concern for the past nine months.
Major Fast Food Chains Have Reduced Trans Fats
New research indicates that major American fast food chains have substantially cut down on the use of unhealthful trans fats in their cooking oils. The finding comes from the University of Minnesota's School of Public Health, and is being reported this week at the National Nutrient Database conference being held in Grand Forks, N. D. "While it took time for major fast food chains to decrease trans fats in their foods, I'm pleased to see that they have done it," Lisa Harnack, director of the university's Nutrition Coordinating Center, said. "I'm also pleased to see that they haven't raised levels of saturated fats to replace trans fats," she added. "This is good news, as the average American gets about 10 percent of calories from fast food. But moderation is still key when considering fast food. Calories and sodium are high and portion sizes are often too large." The finding follows increasing pressure by global health authorities to reduce consumption of trans fats to trace amounts, along with a Congressional law passed in 2006 that mandates disclosure of trans fat content on American food labels.
Billy Busko
It's Official: Buyers Downsized
As Americans emerge from recession, they are buying much different vehicles than they did before the crash: smaller, more fuel-efficient, less ostentatious. A major shift has taken place since 2007, the last of the boom years and the finale of the rosy period preceding two years of turmoil that began with a spike in fuel prices early in 2008. Compared with consumers in the first half of 2007, Americans now are buying: more cars, fewer trucks and smaller vehicles in general, smaller and less expensive cars within segments and ordinary rides that replace bigger or more luxurious vehicles. "We've got people trading Lexuses for Camrys," said Ernie Sims, executive vice president of Al Hendrickson Toyota in Coconut Creek, Fla. "Buyers are much more cautious, more rational."
Auto Parts Retailers Not Hitting the Brakes Just Yet
Starting in late 2008, the nation's three largest auto parts retailers, Advance Auto, AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive, delivered record same-store sales growth in the mid- to high single-digit range, thanks to a surge in demand for automotive replacement parts. Given the weak economic environment, consumers have been seeking ways to extend the lives of their existing vehicles, and to put off purchasing new ones. This tendency is further underscored by the well-documented retreat in U.S. light vehicle sales, which posted sharp declines--in the 30% range--from October 2008 to June 2009. Additionally, as the number of off-warranty vehicles hit at an all-time high in 2009, these companies benefited from a larger proportion of vehicle owners performing do-it-yourself vehicle maintenance over the past year. Furthermore, given their nationwide presence, these retailers have been well-positioned to pick up additional sales, as the difficult economic environment pressures "mom-and-pop" auto parts stores into going out of business.
Genuine Parts Company Reports Sales and Earnings Up
Genuine Parts Company reported sales and earnings for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2010. Thomas C. Gallagher, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, announced today that sales totaling $2.8 billion were up 12% compared to the second quarter of 2009. Net income for the quarter was $124.5 million, an increase of 20% from $103.6 million recorded in the same period of the previous year. Earnings per share on a diluted basis were 78 cents, up 20% compared to 65 cents for the second quarter last year.
Billy Busko
Bed Bath & Beyond Carves Out Giant Niche
Bed Bath & Beyond has churned out double-digit top-line growth over the past three quarters, helping it move up to the sixth position on Consensus Advisors' 2009-2010 Retailer Health Ratings, just behind Wal-Mart and CVS. In its first quarter ended May 29, earnings climbed a better-than-expected 58%, helped by a rebound in spending for home furnishings and market gains as Linens n' Things closed its stores last year. Revenue grew 14% to $1.92 billion and ran up 9.4% on a same-store basis, outpacing the industry. Gross margins improved 450 basis points, partly due to efforts to reduce couponing in recent quarters, which has also lowered advertising costs. On a conference call, management reiterated that it sees the potential for another 400 Bed Bath stores in the U.S. and Canada.
Williams-Sonoma's Secret Sauce
Professional managers like Howard Lester aren't supposed to be entrepreneurs. You know the type: the seasoned exec who takes the wheel from the founder when it's time to drive growth, layering on necessary infrastructure. He's the "suit" or the "gray-hair" whose arrival signals an end to the fun, scrappy days before people had to consult policy manuals. At San Francisco's Williams-Sonoma Inc., Lester succeeded founder Chuck Williams, who stayed on as chairman. But even Williams, 94, concedes that the home-furnishings retailer wouldn't have become a $3 billion juggernaut without Lester. Lester, 74, who capped 32 years at the company when he retired in May, is an entrepreneur in his own right. Not only did he successfully found (and sell) a company before buying Williams-Sonoma in 1978, but his stewardship could hardly have been more entrepreneurial: He pushed for growth, took risks, made mistakes. Lester transformed Williams-Sonoma into a kitchen and home-furnishings empire, with brands like Pottery Barn and West Elm. Unlike other nonfounder entrepreneurs, Lester focused on making the brand, and not himself, a household name. Williams-Sonoma was begun in 1956, an outgrowth of its founder's passion for French culinary traditions. But Lester's zeal is what has really gotten Williams-Sonoma cooking. His passion? Business. "I had no interest in making quiches," says Lester.
Douglas Stebbins
How Sears Bungled Its Exclusive Deal with BONGO
Iconix Brand Group signed a long-term direct-to-retail license agreement with Sears to sell its junior brand BONGO exclusively in Sears and Kmart stores. Smart of Sears to snap up such a sexy collection all for itself, but to sell it in both of its chains? Not so much. Iconix owns a lot of popular brands and has successfully negotiated deals to sell Candie's and Mudd at Kohl's, Danskin at Walmart and scored a major coup with Madonna's Material Girl junior collection for Macy's. This latest roll of the eight ball as Sears chairman Eddie Lampert deploys a scatter shot strategy to beef up the company's fashion cred may fall short though. Sears' other efforts include opening a design office in San Francisco and bringing back John Goodman to serve as EVP of apparel and home. Sears would have done better to pick one of its chains and make BONGO a real exclusive. Analysts at Retail Sails estimated when Iconix's brand Mudd went exclusive with Kohl's in late 2008 its sales went from about $100 million to $500 million in less than two years. By going exclusive with BONGO, they estimate Sears can easily do well over $200 million in the first year alone. But given that Kmart is doing slightly better than its parent in apparel (comps were up 3.2 percent over 2009) and the chain is getting ready to launch a huge makeover of its junior department - killing its Piper & Blue line, shoving Route 66 into women's and rolling out an extensive collection with teen star Selena Gomez - it would seem wiser to lower revenue expectations and save BONGO for distribution in Sears stores only.
SEC Closes Investigation of NexCen Brands
NexCen Brands, Inc., the parent of The Athlete's Foot, announced that the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission has notified the company that it has completed its two year investigation of the company and does not intend to recommend any enforcement action by the Commission. The investigation, which was previously disclosed, related to the circumstances surrounding the Company's January 2008 financing of its acquisition of Great American Cookies and the Company's public disclosures about the terms of that financing. "We are pleased that the SEC has concluded its investigation of the Company and is recommending that no action be taken by the Commission," stated, Kenneth J. Hall, Chief Executive Officer of NexCen Brands. "This favorable outcome is a significant step towards putting this matter behind us." NexCen Brandsowns a portfolio of franchise brands that includes two retail franchise concepts: TAF and Shoebox New York, as well as five quick service restaurant (QSR) franchise concepts: Great American Cookies, MaggieMoo's, Marble Slab Creamery, Pretzelmaker and Pretzel Time.
Mark Lenz
Supply Cramps May Push Diamond Prices Up 15-20%
Rough and polished diamond prices are likely to rise by another 15-20 per cent this year due to lack of supply and rising demand from consumers in emerging markets. Diamond prices fell about 30 per cent last year and had recovered by almost 15 per cent this year. Further recovery is imminent by the end of this year, said Mehul Choksi, chairman of Gitanjali Gems, a leading jewellery manufacturer and retailer, on the sidelines of a seminar organized by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry.
A Shift in Meaning for 'Luxury' as Shopping Habits Change
Steve Hundley dumped his Jaguar convertible. He stopped taking Baltic cruises. And he stopped buying his wife pricey jewelry. But last year, just as the recession raised its head, the San Diego resident paid $6,500 for an outdoor artisan pizza oven. "We don't need the Jaguar or cruises to the Baltic," says Hundley, who at 56, is semiretired following a heart attack two years ago. "But cooking healthy food is a big priority." Americans are dipping their toes back into the luxury pool - but with a mindset that's been smacked down and radically reshaped by the recession, the lure of new technologies and emerging lifestyle twists that are often as much personal as cultural. "The luxury brands are all trying to reinvent themselves and deliver a better experience," says Milton Pedraza, CEO of the Luxury Institute, a research firm that consults for designer brands. "Apple is making all these companies rethink their business models."
SpendingPulse: June Strong for Jewelry
Jewelry sales grew a "very respectable" 10.1 percent in June, marking eight consecutive months of growth for the category, MasterCard Advisors' latest SpendingPulse report shows. More broadly, for all categories, however, June continued the trend of slow to modest growth, according to the report, which tracks national retail and service sales within the MasterCard payments network. E-commerce sales were an exception, increasing 9.7 percent across all categories in June. Online sales were strongest for the jewelry category and at department stores. Luxury sales performed poorly, including those at restaurants, food and department stores, and high-end apparel retailers, where sales fell 3.9 percent in June.
De Beers Antitrust Deal Rejected by Appeals Court Over Technicality
A U.S. federal appeals court rejected the De Beers antitrust deal over what seems like a technical issue. The 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that the settlement must be vacated because the lower court had improperly certified a nationwide class of indirect purchasers. In a 75 page ruling, Judge Kent A. Jordan accepted the appeal made by 34 of the indirect purchasers, saying the purchasers had claims under widely varying state laws and therefore, they could not easily qualify as a class. The judge retuned the case to U.S. District Court in New Jersey for further consideration.
Mark Lenz
Toys "R" Us Gets a Head Start with Christmas in July Marketing
Toys "R" Us, in a sign it plans to continue the aggressive marketing strategies that helped it win the Christmas toy wars last year, will hold "Christmas in July" sales at its stores next week. 'Christmas in July' will start Sunday at all Toys 'R' Us outlets, including the flagship store in Times Square, above. The event will include special sales and a 'Cyber Monday.' The Wayne-based retailer will be discounting "brands and items that we wouldn't normally have on sale until November and December," said Greg Ahearn, senior vice president of marketing and e-commerce. A similar promotion in 2009 was a success and the company expanded the Christmas-in-July theme this year, and added a "Cyber Monday" sale day July 26 for online deals.
Victoria's Secret Plans Tricks and Treats
Trick-or-treat might be positively angelic this year. Victoria's Secret - whose runway supermodels wear lingerie and angel wings - plans to offer a small range of costume items for Halloween this fall. Officials at Limited Brands, the parent company of Victoria's Secret, had little comment on the merchandise other than to confirm that it is in the works and to say it will be available through the company's website and catalog business, and in its mall stores. In offering the theme items, Victoria's Secret will join such retailers as Frederick's of Hollywood - which has offered sexy Halloween merchandise for years - Playboy and a growing number of costume shops. The popularity of Halloween among older teens and adults began surging in 2005, according to statistics from the National Retail Federation. That surge continued until the recession caused a drop in spending for all ages, including big-spending young adults who spent slightly less than $70 on the holiday in 2009 versus more than $80 in 2008. Even so, in every year, the biggest chunk of the budget for the holiday went to costume purchases, the National Retail Federation reports. Last year, consumers spent an average of $20.75 per person on costumes, for a total of $1.75 billion nationally.
Bigger Back-to-School Shopping Sprees Expected
Back-to-school spending is expected to be robust this year as parents replenish their kids' wardrobes and backpacks after two years of weak demand for school gear. Families are tired of cutting back and sending their children to school in last year's styles, according to reports released Thursday by two major retail organizations. The National Retail Federation said the average U.S. family with students in kindergarten through high school will spend $606.40 on clothes, shoes, supplies and electronics, a 10.5% rise from $548.72 last year.
Mark Boucher
Cinnabon Starts Extreme Makeover
Cinnabon, the 25-year-old quick-service chain known for its proprietary cinnamon rolls, is reinventing itself as a bakery-café concept complete with breakfast and lunch service as well as an expanded beverage program. Egg sandwiches in the morning, espresso-based beverages and panini-type sandwiches for lunch are set for test this summer, according to the chain's president, Gary Bales. The repositioning of the Atlanta-based, 570-unit chain will evolve over a three-year period, he said, and is part of a strategy to increase Cinnabon's current customer base and attract new users to the brand outside of the mall markets it primarily trades in.
Macaroni Grill Shakes Up Leadership
Romano's Macaroni Grill announced it has named industry veteran Norman Abdallah chief executive, replacing Brad Blum, who has left the company. The Dallas-based, 200-unit casual-dining chain also announced the hiring of Carey Carrington as chief financial officer, and said chief operating officer Bob Mock is no longer with the company. Macaroni Grill provided no details about the departure of Blum in its statement, and did not return a request for comment.
Five Guys Eyes International Expansion
With development rights sold out in the United States and Canada, the rapidly expanding Five Guys Burgers and Fries is exploring international growth opportunities. Executives of the fast-casual burger brand - which opened its 632nd unit in Sacramento, Calif., on Tuesday - are considering introducing the brand in either European or Asian markets over the next year or so, said Jerry Murrell, founder, president and chief executive of the Lorton, Va.-based chain.
Douglas Stebbins
As Consumers Slash Debt, Credit Cards Boost Incentives
Credit card debt per borrower is falling, according to credit reporting firm TransUnion. But consumers' resolve will continue to be tested. That's because Discover, Target, Chase and others are dialing up their card rewards programs, introducing new products or boosting marketing to get consumers to use plastic more often. On July 1, Chase's "Ultimate Rewards" program launched a national ad campaign touting the benefits of its credit and debit cards. And last month, Target Corp. announced that this fall shoppers will receive a 5 percent discount each day they use the retailer's Redcards, including the Target credit card and Target check card. The Target credit card currently carries an annual interest rate of 25.2 percent.
Visa Moves to Reduce Payment Card Data in Retail Systems
A new payment card security initiative launched by Visa Inc. Wednesday could eliminate the need for retailers and other organizations to store full, 16-digit credit and debit card numbers on their systems. The move comes in response to long-standing pressure from the National Retail Federation (NRF), which insists that merchants should not be required to store the information because of security risks. Many must do so because credit card issuing banks and the merchant's own financial institutions require the full 16-digit primary account number (PAN) in order to resolve refunds, charge backs and other customer disputes. In some cases, large retailers also voluntarily store PAN data, either because they need it internally or because of legacy systems. Under the initiative unveiled yesterday, Visa will push card issuers and acquiring banks to allow merchants to present truncated, disguised or otherwise masked card numbers for dispute resolution cases.
Banks Eased Credit to Hedge Funds, Private Equity
Wall Street's largest dealers eased credit terms to hedge funds and private-equity firms that borrow against securities and trade over-the-counter derivatives, according to a Federal Reserve survey. More banks said credit terms "loosened considerably" or "loosened somewhat" than said they "increased considerably" or "increased somewhat" in the three months ended in May, the Fed said today in a report. Demand for lending that's collateralized by asset-backed securities or residential- mortgage-backed securities with implied U.S. backing also rose, the survey showed. Increased competition from rivals was the main reason that terms were loosened, the survey showed. Seven of eight respondents cited competition as "very important" or "somewhat important" in their easing of terms. Improvements in general market functioning and liquidity were also considered important, the survey said.
Those are the latest headlines. Thank you for reading.
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The Team at Consensus



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