The Weekly Consensus: Week of March 22, 2010

In Perspective

Betsy White

The financial world was buzzing at the beginning of last week after the long-rumored acquisition of Tommy Hilfiger by Philips-Van Heusen (PVH) was finally announced.  Much of the news has been focused on the specific deal synergies and financing, as well as the speculation that this deal is a harbinger of more transactions to come as confidence, business performance and availability and access to capital improves from the economic low point in September 2008.  Following is some additional perspective on two of the cited benefits of the merger: (a) increased customer leverage for both companies' products, as the sales volume of the combined business reaches $4.8 billion on a pro forma basis (approximately 50 percent derived from each), and (b) additional international distribution opportunities for PVH, leveraging Hilfiger's strong European business infrastructure. 
 
Size is relative.  As large as the post-merger PVH will be, with a number four rank among global apparel businesses, PVH will still be smaller than the top 57 department, discount and specialty apparel store companies in the world, apparel companies' actual or potential largest customers.  Even the largest global apparel company, V.F. Corporation, at $7.4 billion in sales is smaller than 42 global department, discount and specialty apparel companies. The largest retailer, of course, is Wal-Mart at $400 billion in annual sales, which is over three times larger than the second ranked Carrefour and 55 times larger than V.F. Corporation.  Certainly many retailers sell more than just apparel, so by virtue of the retailer's overall product breadth and apparel concentration, along with the variety within the apparel category a retailer will seek to offer its customers, size leverage will almost always favor an apparel company's most important customers.  This makes it most important for an apparel company to build and maintain brand equity, with size an added, not primary, advantage.
 
Many more large retail chains than one might think are global and non-U.S. based.  International distribution is an important channel for apparel companies of size to both facilitate growth and diversify risk over multiple economies.  PVH's international revenue will increase from ten percent of total sales today to 37 percent of total sales after the merger with Hilfiger.  This increase only reflects the current combined international sales volumes of the two companies and does not reflect any additional international distribution opportunities created by the merger for PVH owned and licensed brands.  Of the top 57 potential customers of apparel companies noted above, only 18, or 31 percent, are based in the U.S., with the bulk of the remaining large retailers headquartered in Europe and Japan.  While certainly Wal-Mart has both U.S. and international stores, it is among the few U.S. based retailers with a significant non-U.S. store base.  International sales penetration requires localized sales, marketing and distribution infrastructures where retailers and their stores are located, a clear benefit to PVH in Europe with the Hilfiger acquisition.  Conversely, Hilfiger brand sales in the U.S. should benefit from PVH's strength domestically.  An added advantage of additional or expanded market opportunities are potential reductions of specific customer concentration risks.
 
As more U.S. companies look to acquire others or sell themselves, one should remember that while larger size should provide additional strength in dealing with large retailers, the size war will generally be won by the top customers.  But geographic diversification is a benefit on three levels - reduced exposure to local economies, increased opportunities to sell to non-U.S. based companies, and a potential reduction in domestic customer concentration risk.

Apparel/Swimwear/Intimates

Betsy White

Why Phillips-Van Heusen is Buying Tommy Hilfiger

The Monday announcement of Phillips-Van Heusen's $3 billion deal for Tommy Hilfiger puts to rest weeks of speculation that the two clothing companies were in deal talks. But according to the two chief executives who put together the deal, it was a merger that had made sense for a long time. "You don't often get an opportunity to buy a brand with the depth and breadth that Tommy has," Emanuel Chirico, chief executive of Phillips-Van Heusen, told DealBook on Monday. Mr. Chirico and Fred Gehring, Tommy Hilfiger's chief executive, say that the two reached out to each other about two and a half months ago to explore a potential deal in lieu of an initial public offering for the preppy clothier. "We had come to conclusion that this was a good alternative to an I.P.O.," Mr. Gehring said. The two executives already knew each other fairly well. Tommy Hilfiger's owner, the British private equity firm Apax Partners, had backed Phillips-Van Heusen's acquisition of Calvin Klein in 2003. And Phillips-Van Heusen holds a license to produce some Tommy Hilfiger clothing. It was the Calvin Klein deal in particular that helped draw the two companies together, the two chief executives said: Phillips-Van Heusen gives that company's team a wide berth to manage its operations, a business model that Tommy Hilfiger management found attractive.

Something Old, Something New

Shoppers in Boston may not see a new Filene's Basement in Downtown Crossing anytime soon, but the store's famed automatic markdown system is making a comeback this year. Filene's Basement is planning by the fall to roll out a new version of the concept, which provides deeper discounts on items the longer they remain unsold, to the entire chain and its sister company, Syms. The new automatic markdown will feature one item every month by a specific designer for both men and women, rather than the large assortment of merchandise offered at the legendary location in Boston that shuttered several years ago. "I absolutely adore the automatic markdown system. It creates that sense of urgency and scarcity,'' said Marcy Syms, chief executive of discounter Syms Corp., which bought Filene's Basement in bankruptcy court last year. "But the way it was in Downtown Crossing was pretty unsustainable.'' Syms unveiled the automatic markdown concept - and plans to launch an e-commerce site this year for Filene's Basement - while visiting the company's renovated shop yesterday in Norwood that combines the Filene's Basement and Syms brands under one roof. The store, which officially opens tomorrow, brings together Syms' extensive suit and tailored offerings with Filene's Basement's designer clothes and accessories. It's the second of a dozen joint shops the business is hoping to open over the next two years. There are currently 24 Filene's Basement shops and 26 Syms stores. Retail analysts say the joint venture makes sense and will help the company better compete in the increasingly fierce marketplace.

French Connection Rises on Nicole Farhi Brand Sale

French Connection Group Plc, a U.K.-based fashion retailer, rose the most since December in London trading after announcing plans to sell the Nicole Farhi brand and close most of its U.S. stores. French Connection climbed as much as 14 percent. The retailer will sell the money-losing label to OpenGate Capital for as much as 5 million pounds ($7.6 million), London-based French Connection said. The company will also close about 17 of 23 U.S. outlets to focus on its wholesale operations there. The retailer last year announced plans to close 21 stores in Japan. "We have had to make some tough decisions, but our exit from the Japanese market, the reduction of our US retail presence and the sale of Nicole Farhi, together with a reduction in our overhead base, leaves us with a continuing business that we expect will be both profitable and cash generative even in the current difficult economic environment," Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Stephen Marks said in the statement.

Fossil Succeeds by Doing Everything Itself

Fossil Inc. loves to use vintage images from the 1950s, and the company's business strategy couldn't be more retro: Want it done right? Do it yourself. Designing, manufacturing, retailing, advertising, graphics, architecture, factories in the Far East—Fossil doesn't just tap these specialties and resources, it owns them. In an era of the virtual corporation, in which every service imaginable is often outsourced and subcontracted, Richardson-based Fossil has emerged as a one-stop shop for fashion and design. It's an expensive, labor-intensive proposition, demanding just the right eye for trends. Companies can easily grow too fast or reach beyond their competency, and when the economy turns, they're exposed. Not Fossil. Most of its competitors struggled last year and retreated to survival mode as the recession deepened. Fossil reset expenses early and then grabbed for market share, confident that consumers would snatch up its new designs. The company ended the year with $1.5 billion in sales and a record $139 million in profits, continuing a string of profitability that dates to before it went public in 1993. The real rush came in the fourth quarter, when Fossil's net income jumped 51 percent and direct-to-consumer sales (as opposed to its wholesale business) rose 22 percent. In the past 12 months, Fossil's stock price has almost tripled.

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Athletic & Sporting Goods

Michael O'Hara

Oncap to Acquire Dallas-Based Sport Supply Group

Dallas-based sporting goods and uniform supplier Sport Supply Group Inc. said it has agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Oncap Management Partners LP for roughly $170 million. But several law firms immediately said they don't believe the company tried hard enough to find higher bids. The four firms are all looking for unhappy Sport Supply shareholders, most likely as a first step toward pursuing a class-action lawsuit against the company. Oncap's buyout does not include a premium. At $13.55 per share, the bid is just 2 cents higher than the stock's closing price Friday. However, the purchase agreement does grant Sport Supply 30 days to solicit a higher bid from another buyer, although Sport Supply would have to pay a breakup fee to Oncap of either $3 million or $6 million, depending on when the new bid is received.

Burton to End Vermont Production

Burton announced that it will shift premium snowboard production from its small, Vermont-based Burton Manufacturing Center (BMC) to Austria, where the company has been building snowboards for over 25 years. Forty three employees will be affected by BMC's closure. The decision means Burton will no longer make boards in the U.S., aside from a relatively small number of prototypes. Product design and development will still be home-grown in Vermont, where the company will relocate its snowboard prototyping resources from BMC into a new, purely R&D-driven prototype facility at its global headquarters in Burlington. BMC, located in South Burlington, Vermont is slated to close in June of this year. Burton is working closely with the Vermont Department of Labor's Rapid Response program to assist these employees with unemployment and re-employment resources.

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Catalog & Internet

Christopher Ellis

Watch Brands Signing on, Uneasily, for E-Tailing

TheWatchAvenue.com is a virtual arcade of posh boutiques representing some of Switzerland's finest timepiece brands. Using ambient street sounds, digital clips of walking, talking salespeople and cyberkiosks brimming with product information, the site attempts to recreate the chic ambiance of the real-world salons where high-end watches are typically sold. Unlike those salons, however, WatchAvenue's boutiques are not equipped to sell anything. Among its 12 tenants, just one, TAG Heuer, sells its timepieces online - and even then only through links to the sites of its brick-and-mortar partners. The luxury watch business is committed to offering a deluxe, tactile shopping experience. But as latecomers to Web 2.0, most brands have struggled with translating that to the Internet. Compounding their reluctance to sell online is the Web's tainted reputation as a breeding ground for counterfeits. The arguments deflect attention from a more pressing concern about e-commerce: the threat it poses to a brand's traditional distribution network. Recent developments, however, suggest that the industry's entrenched views on distribution, and the Internet's place in it, are changing.

The New Consumer Frugality

A new survey of 2,000 U.S. consumers, the second issued by Booz & Company since the early days of the recession in October 2008, confirms that a "new frugality," born of the Great Recession and evidenced by two cosnsecutive years of declining per capita consumption, is now becoming entrenched among U.S. consumers and is reshaping their consumption patterns in ways that will persist even as the economy starts to recover. A new frugality, characterized by a strong value consciousness that dictates trade-offs in price, brand, and convenience, has become the dominant mind-set among consumers in the United States - and probably in other wealthy countries as well. Two-thirds of American shoppers are cutting coupons more frequently, buying low price over convenience, and emphasizing saving over spending. Per capita consumption expenditure has declined across demographic groups. Consumer sentiment remains weak. These trends are not going to change, no matter the pace of economic change.

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Consumer Electronics/Video/Audio

Douglas Stebbins

Blockbuster: Bankruptcy is a Possibility

Movie rental chain Blockbuster Inc. said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that it may have to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection if unable to generate enough cash flow to meet or restructure its debt commitments. In the filing, the Dallas-based movie rental chain attributed its weakened operations and cash flow to increasing competition. The company indicated that its cash flow situation has "threatened the company's ability to continue as a going concern."

Is Blockbuster the Next Sirius XM?

Things look bleak for Blockbuster. The DVD rental chain's shares are trading for pocket change, and now even the company is bracing its shareholders for the likely wipeout of a bankruptcy filing.  The word "bankruptcy" appears 17 times in yesterday's 10-K filing with the SEC.  This may sound familiar to Sirius XM Radio shareholders. Its stock was trading even lower than Blockbuster is today when reports surfaced 13 months ago that it was hiring advisors for a potential bankruptcy filing. The satellite radio provider was days away from a debt repayment milestone it couldn't cover. We all know the happier resolution. Liberty Media stepped up a few days later, agreeing to lend Sirius XM enough money to make it through, in exchange for a 40% stake. The terms were harsh, but they saved Sirius XM's hide. Shares of the satellite-radio operator ranked among last year's biggest winners.

Conn's Gets Breathing Room on Loans

Credit modifications approved this month by Conn's lenders have spared the 76-store appliance, electronics and furniture chain from potentially defaulting on its loans.  The new agreements replaced the leverage ratio with a covenant based on liabilities to tangible net worth, and lowered the minimum fixed charge coverage ratio requirement for the 12-month periods ended Jan. 31 and April 30, 2010.  However, the amendments also increase the cost of credit for Conn's while reducing the amount and maturity dates of its revolving facility.  The credit line will be reduced from $200 million to $170 million next month, and to $130 million in April 2011, while the maturity date was shortened from September 2012 to August 2011.  The chain's major lenders include Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and SunTrust.

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Cosmetics & Pharmacy

Billy Busko

Ulta to Continue 'Successful Game Plan' in 2010

Beauty retailer Ulta wrapped up a favorable fiscal 2009 and is upbeat about fiscal 2010 as it continues to expand its store base, reduce expenses and generate free cash flow. "We are very pleased with our fourth-quarter performance. Our results surpassed the increased guidance we provided in January and included a 6.2% comparable-store sales increase, a 60 basis point improvement in merchandise margin and continued momentum of our cost management initiatives, all of which contributed to a 61.9% increase in diluted earnings per share -- a strong finish to the year," stated Lyn Kirby, Ulta's president and CEO. Net sales for the fourth quarter rose 16.1% to $396.4 million, compared with $341.4 million in the year-ago period. Net income for the quarter rose 64.6% to $20.2 million from $12.3 million in the year-ago period. Kirby noted that for fiscal 2009 it exceeded each of its three goals: growing profitable market share, achieving permanent cost efficiencies and delivering free cash flow. For the year, same-store sales rose 1.4% and store expansion continued with square footage increasing 12%. The company also achieved $19 million in permanent cost reductions and generated free cash flow of $104.7 million for fiscal 2009.

Kroger Launches Exclusive Beauty Care Line

Kroger has introduced a private-label beauty care brand called Mirra that is geared toward "family-focused women seeking effortless beauty." Mirra combines natural ingredients with the latest science to meet three different needs: Daily, for routine personal care; Renew, for a rejuvenating time out; and Inspire, for quick transformations for a night out. Mirra products contain sunflower extract, soy protein, amino acids and chicory root, along with other ingredients, to counteract the harsh effects of hard water and restore a healthy pH balance to hair. Styling products provide moisture, shine, and hold.

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Department & Discount Stores

Mark Lenz

TJX Launching New Chain, Expands Stores

TJX Cos.'s management is launching a new chain in the spring next year that management says has the capability of hitting 100 stores. It's not putting a name out there yet, though, and won't reveal the concept. Meanwhile, the operator of Marshalls, T.J. Maxx and other chains plans to nearly double its overall store count from just above 2,700 units to 4,200 locations. This year, 130 new stores are planned. These moves are happening while TJX continues to experience extremely strong financials. Fourth-quarter same-store sales shot up 12%, and earnings rose 58%. TJX's CEO says that "value is not going out of fashion," even if the recession ends.

Bon Ton, Macy's Find a Middle Way to Profit - For Now

The middle has been a sweet retail spot of late. Mid-priced department-store chains like Bon-Ton Stores and Macy's, have turned in good financial results. But they should not get too comfortable. The 278-store Bon-Ton recently released its fourth-quarter results and posted $80.3 million in net income, up from an $87.7-million loss in the same year-ago period. Bon-Ton's sales at stores open at least a year fell 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter, never a good sign. But that was a major improvement over the 9.7 percent plunge the retailer faced a year ago. Meanwhile the 850-store Macy's posted a 3.7 percent same-store-sales gain in February, compared to an 8.5-percent drop in February last year. There are several reasons for the improvement. For a start, there is the effect of  pent-up demand, as consumers begin to spend again, albeit cautiously. Moreover, last year's sales were so lousy that it wasn't hard to turn in better numbers.

Pent-up Desire to Shop Drives Improved Sales Performance for U.S. Retailers

As the employment picture stabilizes and the stock market posts moderate gains, consumers that have denied themselves all indulgences for the past two years are starting to come back into stores, new data suggests. When the ICSC published its February same-store sales figures earlier this month, the 3.7 percent gain marked the third month in a row that sales were up from last year's levels. No doubt the improving statistics are partly due to the fact that the comparisons are to one of the worst sales years on record. In addition, there is an inherent "survivor bias" in the numbers. Many retailers posting big drops last year have closed stores or are now out of business. The stronger field of retailers in the same-store sales pool are bound to report better numbers because of that.

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Energy

Christopher Ellis

Southern Company & Ted Turner Acquire First Solar Project

Southern Company and Turner Renewable Energy founder Ted Turner on Monday announced that the companies have acquired and will bring online one of the nation's largest solar photovoltaic power plants. The 30-megawatt project is the first to result from the partnership forged by Southern Company and Turner Renewable Energy in January. The project was acquired from and will be built First Solar Inc. The Southern Turner Cimarron I Solar Project is adjacent to Turner's Vermejo Park Ranch in northern New Mexico. First Solar is the contractor for both engineering, procurement and construction and operation and maintenance for the facility, Southern Company said. Construction of the project will begin this month with completion and commercial operation expected by year end 2010.

Danes Hail Lidar Breakthrough in Wind

The world's largest independent rotor blade manufacturer, LM Glasfiber of Denmark, and two Danish partners are developing a laser-based wind sensing system integrated into a wind turbine's blades and spinner. They have claimed success for the system in predicting wind direction, gusts and turbulence. It is claimed that with the new technology incorporated energy yield may increase up to 5% over the wind turbine's 20 year lifetime, primarily because it will be possible to use longer blades by maintaining the same wind turbine structural stress level. A 5% yield increase would, for a 4 MW class wind turbine, also result in an annual financial gain in the range of $38,000, depending on fossil energy prices and other variables.

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Footwear

Michael O'Hara

DSW Returns to Profitability, Comps Jump 12.9%

DSW Inc. reported earnings of $13.4 million, or 30 cents a share, in the fourth quarter, rebounding from a loss of $7.5 million, or 17 cents, a year earlier. Revenues rose 15.6% to $402.6 million from 348.2 million. Same store sales increased 12.9% versus a decrease of 7.2% last year. Net income was $54.7 million on net sales of $1.60 billion for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared with net income of $26.9 million on net sales of $1.46 billion for the year ended January 31, 2009.  Same store sales increased 3.2% versus a decrease of 5.9% last year.


Obama Administration Not Supporting Affordable Footwear Act

U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk told a meeting of the American Apparel and Footwear Association March 12 that the Obama administration is not supporting legislation that would eliminate most tariffs on imported footwear. Supporters of the Affordable Footwear Act, which includes Outdoor Industry Association, note that the duties amount to a regressive tax that hurts low-income consumers. Kirk told the AAFA that the administration's focus is on increasing exports, not imports and that Congress is unlikely to pursue such legislation in the absence of multilateral talks that would grant benefits to U.S. industry.

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Gifts/Accessories/Luggage/Pets

Mark Boucher

Swoozie's to Auction Its Assets

Swoozie's Inc., the Atlanta-based gift and paper retailer that sought bankruptcy protection nearly two weeks ago, will auction its assets. The company, which employs 350 in 43 stores across 14 states, received approval to hold the auction—set for 10 a.m. March 25—from U.S. Bankruptcy Judge C. Ray Mullins. The auction is to be held at Alston & Bird, the law firm representing Swoozie's in the bankruptcy. All qualified bidders will have to submit their proposals by noon March 23 to participate in the auction.

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Proposes Ban on Nine Large Constrictors

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service published a proposed rule on March 12 that seeks to list the Burmese python and eight other constrictor snakes as "injurious wildlife" under the Lacey Act, thus prohibiting the importation and interstate trade of the invasive species. The proposed rule change, which is published in the Federal Register, seeks to ban the following snakes: the Indian and Burmese python, northern African python, southern African python, reticulated python, green anaconda, yellow anaconda, Beni or Bolivian anaconda, DeSchauensee's anaconda, and boa constrictor.

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Grocery/Healthy Foods/Snacks/Confectionery

Mark Boucher

Topco Seeks to Buy Wild Oats Brand

Retailer-owned private-label cooperative Topco Associates, based in Skokie, Ill., is seeking to buy the Wild Oats brand name and other intellectual property from Whole Foods, according to a filing with the Federal Trade Commission here. The filing also lists Fullerton, Calif.-based food-product supplier Luberski Inc. as a potential buyer for the Wild Oats brand. Whole Foods Market, Austin, Texas, was ordered to sell the Wild Oats brand along with 32 stores after an FTC antitrust battle in the wake of its 2007 merger with Wild Oats Markets. Agreements have been reached for the sale of three of those locations - in Kansas City, Mo.; Portland, Maine; and Boulder, Colo.

Gaining Ground

The formulas that had reliably driven profits for years were tested by the extraordinary environment of deep recession, high unemployment and product-price deflation. Traditional supermarket operators had to rethink their pricing strategies in an effort to hang onto as much market share as they could while still delivering something to the bottom line. For some operators, it basically took a full year of trial and error, of adjustments and recalculations to get the right balance. Only in recent weeks have some chains indicated that they may have finally figured it out.

Supervalu Stock Rises on Buyout Talk

Shares of Minneapolis-based Supervalu rose significantly amid speculation the company might be an acquisition candidate, according to Bloomberg News Service here. Shares climbed 5.9% to close at $17.01 after rising to $17.89 earlier for the biggest intraday gain since April 2009, with trading of calls to buy the stock jumping to 36,000 contracts, also the most since last April.

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Home Improvement/Auto Repair

Billy Busko

Geely, Ford Say They are on Track to Sign Volvo Deal

Zhejiang Geely Holding and Ford Motor Co. said they were still on track to sign a deal this month for Ford's Volvo cars unit, after a Chinese newspaper said Geely's planned $2 billion purchase faced hurdles. Spokesmen for Ford and Geely said today that the plan remained to sign a sale and purchase agreement by the end of this quarter, and to complete a deal in the second quarter. Anders Fogel, a spokesman for Geely, said the two sides were making progress "according to plan" on the three key issues of legal documentation, financing, and regulatory and governmental approvals.

GM Talks Stall with Potential Hummer Buyers

General Motors Co.'s talks with potential buyers of its Hummer SUV brand have stalled. GM said last month it would wind down Hummer after a planned sale fell through, but several potential buyers then conducted due diligence. Talks haven't progressed since then.

The Home Depot Moves Black Friday from November to Spring

The Home Depot, the world's largest home improvement retailer, today announced it will implement Spring Black Friday, a weekend of regional door buster deals in preparation for spring, the Company's biggest selling season. In March and April, prices on hundreds of the most sought after spring products will be significantly reduced including: a variety of live goods and lawn care; outdoor power; eco-friendly gardening products; and patio and grills.

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Housewares/Furniture

Billy Busko

Walmart Debuts "Affordable" Hometrends Line

The world's largest retailer has unveiled Hometrends, a new line including bedding, bath, dining, furniture, home décor and accessories featuring modern design and nature-inspired materials. The line is comprised of items such as decorative accessories for under $15, rugs starting at $11, bedding for $39 and dinnerware sets as low as $35.

Spectrum Brands' Shares Begin Trading on NYSE

Spectrum Brands is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange beginning this week. The stock will trade under the symbol SPB. The shares had been trading on the OTC Bulletin Board since September 2009, after Spectrum had finished a financial restructuring. Spectrum is the parent company of the Remington brand of personal-care products, and recently entered into an agreement to merge with Russell Hobbs, the housewares manufacturer formerly known as Salton Inc.

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IP Holding Companies & Multi-brand Companies

Douglas Stebbins

PVH to Tap Debt Market to Fund Hilfiger Deal

Phillips-Van Heusen Corp has turned down guaranteed bank financing for the purchase of fashion brand Tommy Hilfiger, in order to save millions of dollars in fees.  Instead, a source close to the situation said Phillips-Van Heusen would tap the debt market to fund the leveraged deal. To secure guaranteed financing, the company could have paid a 2 percent fee on the $3.05 billion syndicated loan, which translates to about $61 million in total fees, according to the paper. However, Phillips-Van Heusen is expecting that there will be buyers for the below-investment-grade debt.  On Monday, the company said it would buy Tommy Hilfiger from London-based Apax Partners in a cash-and-stock deal worth about $3 billion to boost its presence in Europe and Asia.

Brooks Brothers, St. Andrews Links Pair for Apparel

America's oldest clothier Brooks Brothers has entered into a long-term worldwide partnership with St. Andrews Links to produce, market and distribute a co-branded collection of men's and women's sportswear and accessories to launch spring 2011. Brooks Brothers will manage all product design, development and distribution activities in partnership with St. Andrews Links and the collection will be distributed worldwide through Brooks Brothers' retail stores, catalogs and Web site, as well as in select on-course and off-course retail locations. The collection will also be featured at St. Andrews in The Old Course Shop and on its online shop.  

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Jewelry/Mining

Mark Lenz

Rio Tinto to Hold First U.S. Diamond Conference

Mining company Rio Tinto has announced that it will hold its inaugural jewelry business development symposium and design showcase in Chicago this July. The event is scheduled for July 16 to 18 in the Windy City, according to a press release which indicates that the event will bring together many of Rio Tinto's Select Diamantaires, leading North American jewelry retailers and key jewelry buying groups. The symposium will focus on building better relationships through the diamond supply chain and providing a collaborative forum for understanding key issues facing today's diamond jewelry business.

FUQI Shares Plunge on Accounting Errors

U.S.-traded shares of FUQI International Inc. plunged in aftermarket trading Tuesday after the Chinese jewelry designer revealed that it found accounting errors that caused it to overstate profit for the first nine months of 2009. The company also said that its revenue and profit came in below the company's expectations in the fourth quarter as customers bought cheaper products. FUQI said that an internal investigation found that its cost of sales for the first, second and third quarters of 2009 were understated, and as a result the company's gross profit and net income for those periods were overstated. The accounting errors weren't specified. FUQI said it would have to delay filing its annual report because of the mistakes.

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Office/Crafts & Hobby/Flowers/Party

Mark Lenz

Staples to Buy Rest of Corporate Express Australia

Staples Inc., the world's largest office-supply retailer, agreed to pay A$390 million ($358 million) cash for the 41.4 percent of Corporate Express Australia Ltd. it doesn't already own. The A$5.60 a share cash offer values the company at A$1.1 billion including debt, Sydney-based Corporate Express said in a statement today. The offer is worth 22 percent more than yesterday's closing share price and has been recommended by the Australian company's board in the absence of a higher bid. Staples is seeking full ownership of a company that this month posted its lowest annual earnings in seven years as business customers curbed purchases of new furniture and office equipment.

Borders Opens New Chapter with Book Club Gatherings

In the increasingly brutal book wars, Borders Group Inc. is learning what coffeehouses long have known: Encourage shoppers to think of you as a home away from home and they'll spend more, maybe even become regulars. To spur that feeling, Borders quietly unveiled a program late last month that invites book club groups to convene at its cafe spaces instead of in club members' homes. The step is geared toward helping the money-losing bookstore chain drum up sales and reshape itself into a local gathering place instead of a faceless superstore. Signs and posters telling shoppers to bring their book group to the store have gone out from corporate headquarters in Ann Arbor, Mich., to Borders' 507 outposts, including 18 stores in the Chicago area, said Mary Davis, spokesman for the chain. Borders' Chicago flagship on North Michigan Avenue, which is slated to close next year, already has hosted a few private book clubs in its third-floor event space.

Staples Kicks Off B-to-B Site

Staples launched a business-to-business e-commerce Web site, staplesadvantage.com, on March 11. The company's goal is to meet corporate demands for supplier consolidation and reduced procurement costs. Managed by the company's business-to-business division, Staples Advantage, the site also features the offerings of its five recently announced business-to-business segments: print, facility and technology products as well as promotional and interior products.

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Restaurants/Food Service

Mark Boucher

Benihana the Next Buyout?

Benihana Inc.'s stock price rose 8.8 percent Tuesday after the New York Post reported that an investor had made an offer to take the Japanese-themed restaurant company private. The Post reported Tuesday morning that Russell Glass, manager of RDG Capital LLC of New York, and his private equity partners had made an offer of $7 per share, which would peg Benihana's value at $107.8 million based on its latest number of outstanding shares. The stock closed Tuesday at $6.40 a share, up from the Monday close of $5.88, and also boasted a larger-than-normal trading volume, with 100,986 shares changing hands. The average daily trading volume is 7,359 shares. Benihana's stock has traded between $9.55 and $1.62 per share during the past 52 weeks.

A Look at Industry Same-Store Sales

Nearly all public restaurant companies reported fourth-quarter same-store sales results this month, and winter storms and lingering economic pressures pushed most into negative territory. Some, mainly because of value messaging, moved in a positive direction. For the fourth quarter, or the quarter ended closest to December for companies on a non-calendar fiscal year, quick-service chains on average posted a larger same-store sales decline than any other restaurant industry segment. Quick-service chains were hurt by rising unemployment as well as comparisons with a year earlier when sales trends for fast food were still stable. Casual-dining chains still struggled for customer traffic in the fourth quarter, but some same-store sales results did ease from a year ago. On average, pizza chains and coffee and snack brands were able to post positive same-store sales in this harsh environment, while the fast-casual segment, which is typically the fastest-growing segment, posted, on average, a same-store sales decline of 0.8 percent. That was mostly driven by a double-digit drop of 11.9 percent at Cosi. The averages were based on all chain reports for the latest quarter, including international operations.

'Bustaurant' Rolls into Los Angeles

The mobile food vendor scene in Los Angeles got a new set of wheels this week with the debut of the city's first "bus-taurant," a double-decker bus serving high-end fare. Unlike the growing number of food truck operators throughout the Los Angeles area, the bustaurant, called World Fare, offers guests a place to dine on the open-air roof of the vehicle, which has umbrellas for shade and marble bar tops. World Fare is operated by Travis Schmidt, a South African who previously worked in restaurant and bar supply, and Jason Freeman, who has a background in marketing. The concept's executive chef is Andi Van Willigan, former corporate executive sous chef for the San Francisco-based Michael Mina Group. Willigan also served as sous chef for celebrity chef Gordon Ramsay for two seasons of the television cooking show "Hell's Kitchen."

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Banking & Lending

Douglas Stebbins

LBO Risk Returns as Demand for Yield Rises

Some U.S. companies are likely to see debt costs become more volatile as improving demand for risky debt and increasing merger and acquisition activity bring back the specter of leveraged buyouts. SuperValu and RadioShack are among companies that have seen their credit default swap costs jump in recent weeks on rumors that they may be targeted in an LBO. Private equity companies have also announced a number of acquisitions in recent weeks, including Bain Capital Partners purchasing Dow Chemical Co's Styron basic plastics unit and Thomas H. Lee Partners buying CKE Restaurants. LBOs typically involve private equity firms using debt to purchase a company, which often causes high grade companies to fall into junk territory and sends their funding costs significantly higher. Companies can also use debt to fund acquisitions of competitors, such as in Phillips-Van Heusen's recent agreement to acquire of Tommy Hilfiger. In many cases this hurts their credit profile, in spite of other gains made from the acquisition.

Wal-Mart to Expand Its Financial Services

Wal-Mart Stores Inc., years after a failed effort to obtain a bank charter, plans a 50% increase this year in the number of the company's stores offering bank-like services. The expansion would push the number of Wal-Marts with "Money Centers" to 1,500, or a little less than one for every two Wal-Marts in the U.S., giving the nation's biggest retailer a financial presence that only a handful of banks have. Wal-Mart plans to open its 1,000th money center on March 16. The money centers cater to millions of the retailer's lower-income customers who don't have a bank account or significant relationships with a bank. The federal government estimates that the category accounts for one in four U.S. households.

Bank Failures Threaten Small-Business Lending

The U.S. Treasury Department is concerned the steady pace of bank failures could keep many small businesses from gaining access to new credit as the economy rebounds and companies seek to expand.  Assistant Treasury Secretary Alan Krueger said small and medium bank failures are disrupting long-standing business relationships that drive lending to small businesses.   "We've been concerned that small businesses, which are particularly dependent on bank financing because they typically don't access corporate bond markets, will face and have been facing difficulty getting credit," Treasury's chief economist said.  Since the beginning of 2008, 192 banks have failed, with 27 coming so far this year. Total lending by U.S. banks fell 7.4%, the steepest drop since 1942.

Those are the latest headlines. Thank you for reading.

Sincerely,

The Team at Consensus

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